Forecast record — Crypto
We keep every verdict we've ever given, unedited. Once a day passes we never change that day's entry (append-only); outcomes are computed on the fly as more data comes in.
Market: US · Korea · Japan · Hong Kong · Crypto
Last 90 days hit rate 0% (sample 2 days, cloudy/neutral excluded)
Days we got wrong (last 5)
Rule: storm/rain counts as a 'risk-off' call and sunny as a 'favourable' call, compared against the sign of the index return one month later. Cloudy is neutral and excluded from the hit rate.
| Date | Verdict (weather) | Favourable signals | Index return, 1 month later | Right/Wrong |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Rain | 3/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-30) | Awaiting evaluation (D-30) |
| 2026-09-07 | Cloudy | 3/5 | – | – |
| 2026-09-05 | Cloudy | 3/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-27) | Awaiting evaluation (D-27) |
| 2026-09-04 | Cloudy | 3/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-26) | Awaiting evaluation (D-26) |
| 2026-09-03 | Cloudy | 3/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-25) | Awaiting evaluation (D-25) |
| 2026-09-02 | Rain | 2/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-24) | Awaiting evaluation (D-24) |
| 2026-09-01 | Rain | 2/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-23) | Awaiting evaluation (D-23) |
| 2026-08-31 | Cloudy | 3/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-22) | Awaiting evaluation (D-22) |
| 2026-08-30 | Rain | 2/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-21) | Awaiting evaluation (D-21) |
| 2026-08-29 | Rain | 2/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-20) | Awaiting evaluation (D-20) |
| 2026-08-28 | Rain | 2/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-19) | Awaiting evaluation (D-19) |
| 2026-08-27 | Cloudy | 3/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-18) | Awaiting evaluation (D-18) |
| 2026-08-26 | Cloudy | 3/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-17) | Awaiting evaluation (D-17) |
| 2026-08-25 | Cloudy | 3/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-16) | Awaiting evaluation (D-16) |
| 2026-08-24 | Cloudy | 3/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-15) | Awaiting evaluation (D-15) |
| 2026-08-23 | Cloudy | 3/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-14) | Awaiting evaluation (D-14) |
| 2026-08-22 | Cloudy | 3/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-13) | Awaiting evaluation (D-13) |
| 2026-08-21 | Cloudy | 3/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-12) | Awaiting evaluation (D-12) |
| 2026-08-20 | Rain | 2/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-11) | Awaiting evaluation (D-11) |
| 2026-08-19 | Rain | 1/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-10) | Awaiting evaluation (D-10) |
| 2026-08-18 | Rain | 2/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-9) | Awaiting evaluation (D-9) |
| 2026-08-17 | Rain | 2/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-8) | Awaiting evaluation (D-8) |
| 2026-08-16 | Rain | 1/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-7) | Awaiting evaluation (D-7) |
| 2026-08-15 | Rain | 1/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-6) | Awaiting evaluation (D-6) |
| 2026-08-14 | Rain | 1/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-5) | Awaiting evaluation (D-5) |
| 2026-08-13 | Rain | 2/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-4) | Awaiting evaluation (D-4) |
| 2026-08-12 | Storm | 1/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-3) | Awaiting evaluation (D-3) |
| 2026-08-11 | Storm | 1/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-2) | Awaiting evaluation (D-2) |
| 2026-08-10 | Storm | 1/5 | Awaiting evaluation (D-1) | Awaiting evaluation (D-1) |
| 2026-08-09 | Storm | 2/5 | +21.82% | Wrong |
| 2026-08-08 | Rain | 2/5 | +21.71% | Wrong |