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The storm score combines several warning signals into one 0-100 number. The higher it is, the more warning signals are on.
This is not a prediction — it is a statistic from past data using fixed rules.
Caution · Storm score 71.0/100
| Signal | Status | |
|---|---|---|
| Many stocks weaken at once | On | The share of stocks above their 50-day average fell 22.3 points in 10 days |
| More stocks hitting 52-week lows | On | 4.4% of stocks just hit a new 52-week low |
| Trading volume jumps suddenly | On | Trading volume is 4.06x higher than usual |
| Fewer stocks above the 200-day average | On | 52.3% of stocks are above their 200-day average |
| Stocks falling together | Off | Stocks are moving in the same direction more than in 90% of the past year (avg correlation 0.07) |
| Price trend broken | Off | The index is below its 200-day average and swinging 0.71x more than usual |
| Prices swinging more than usual | Off | Prices are swinging 0.71x more than usual these days |
| Fast drop in a short time | Off | The index fell 1.5% in the last 10 days |
| Fell far from its recent high | Off | It is down 2.1% from its recent high |
| Fear index jumps suddenly | Off | The fear index (VIX) is 6% above its 20-day average |
| Near-term fear bigger than long-term | Off | Today's fear index is -3.7 points higher than the 3-month one |
| Bond market gets nervous first | Off | The gap between corporate and government bond prices shrank 1% in 20 days |
| Stage | Days | Fell 7%+ in 3wk | Fell 10%+ | Avg biggest drop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calm | 218 | 5.1% | 3.2% | -1.88% |
| Caution | 63 | 11.1% | 3.2% | -2.31% |
| Alert | 92 | 10.9% | 6.5% | -2.89% |
| Danger | 35 | 37.1% | 14.3% | -4.26% |