Crypto stock crash signals — today's storm score

The storm score combines several warning signals into one 0-100 number. The higher it is, the more warning signals are on.

This is not a prediction — it is a statistic from past data using fixed rules.

Calm · Storm score 14.4/100

In this market the Danger stage has not yet beaten the base rate out of sample, so the score is shown but alerts (storm verdict, notifications) use Alert at most.

Signal

SignalStatus
Trading volume jumps suddenlyOnTrading volume is 2.29x higher than usual
Many stocks weaken at onceOffThe share of stocks above their 50-day average fell 6.5 points in 10 days
Stocks falling togetherOffStocks are moving in the same direction more than in 90% of the past year (avg correlation 0.44)
Price trend brokenOffThe index is below its 200-day average and swinging 0.93x more than usual
Prices swinging more than usualOffPrices are swinging 0.93x more than usual these days
Fast drop in a short timeOffThe index fell 3.2% in the last 10 days
Fell far from its recent highOffIt is down 0.4% from its recent high
More stocks hitting 52-week lowsOff0% of stocks just hit a new 52-week low
Fewer stocks above the 200-day averageOff45.2% of stocks are above their 200-day average
Shock spreading from the US marketOffThe US index fell 1% recently and is spilling over
Currency swinging sharplyOffThe exchange rate moved 2.4% recently

How accurate this has been

StageDaysFell 7%+ in 3wkFell 10%+Avg biggest drop
Calm28332.2%20.5%-6.37%
Caution16837.5%22.0%-6.65%
Alert12832.8%16.4%-6.18%
Danger2638.5%15.4%-6.61%

What this system does at each level

Last updated: 2026-09-19

Methodology and validation · Data quality

All figures on this page are statistical information, not investment advice.

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